Early January forecast: snow

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The early January weather forecast points toward snow for much of the Great Lakes, Northeast and Middle Atlantic States, according to extended outlooks posted by the ECMWF, CMC, and Weather Service’s GFS models./Weatherbell Analytics www.weatherbell.com The early January weather forecast points toward snow for much of the Great Lakes, Northeast and Middle Atlantic States, according to extended outlooks posted by the ECMWF, CMC, and Weather Service’s GFS models./Weatherbell Analytics www.weatherbell.com

Extreme southern portion of New Jersey could see 12-14 inches of snow this weekend

The early January weather forecast points toward snow for much of the Great Lakes, Northeast and Middle Atlantic States, according to extended outlooks posted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the CMC and the National Weather Service global forecast system models.

The ECMWF points toward a monster coastal storm next weekend that could drop a foot of snow over much of the Middle Atlantic States.

Cold front goes coastal

A seemingly never-ending holiday vacation could get longer for millions of school children across the Northeast if early January weather forecast models hold true.

A deepening trough of much colder than normal air could create a highway for a series of nor’easters to form along the United States, according to the National Weather Service early January weather forecast.

Also, air should be cold enough to provide for snow as far south as the northern portions of Maryland, according to predictions.

 First night, then first snow

When many people return to work Thursday, Jan. 2, Ol’ Man Winter is expected to return with a vengeance and a handful of snow in his grasp.

A nor’easter off the Middle Atlantic States could dump more than a foot of snow across much of New England, according to the National Weather Service forecast.

Eastern Pennsylvania could receive about 3-5 inches, while the Poconos would likely get 7 inches or more of snow, according to the GFS model early January forecast.

South Jersey snow

South Jersey is expected to see between 1 and 2 inches of snow with a sharp line between much heavier snow totals. Areas north of Trenton could get 3-6 inches of snow, according to the National Weather Service forecast. However, a few miles' difference in the path of the storm could change snow totals greatly.

A monster second storm for South Jersey, Middle Atlantic?

The early January weather forecast from the ECMWF model, usually the most accurate during the winter months, calls for a second coastal nor’easter to form next weekend.

But the ECMWF early January forecast suggests this nor’easter means serious business for the snow-starved portions of the Middle Atlantic States.

If the ECMWF early January weather forecast holds true, the extreme southern portion of South Jersey could receive 12-14 inches of snow next weekend. Portions of Atlantic County could get up to a foot of snow.

A huge area from North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland and Delaware would get more than a foot of snow, according to the ECMWF early January forecast.

Like a true coastal storm, snow totals would fall off the farther west and north you get from the Atlantic Ocean.

The Canadian and United States weather models have not picked up on a second coastal storm for the weekend, but time will tell if they do.

Which January weather forecast model wins?

Often the ECMWF, CMC and GFS models dance around each other until a consensus seems to form about 48 to 72 hours before a storm hits. By the time the ball drops at Times Square, we should have a fairly certain idea how much snow we can expect to cover the Northeast during the first weekend of January.

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