Trio of storms to bring snow, ice, rain to South Jersey

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A series of storms will combine to hurl almost every type of weather condition imaginable across the Middle Atlantic States this week: snow, ice, freezing rain, rain and possible river flooding./NWS A series of storms will combine to hurl almost every type of weather condition imaginable across the Middle Atlantic States this week: snow, ice, freezing rain, rain and possible river flooding./NWS

 UPDATE: 2-6 inches of snow to fall Monday across Atlantic County

A series of storms will combine to hurl almost every type of weather condition imaginable across the Middle Atlantic States this week: snow, ice, freezing rain, rain and possible river flooding.

However, storms on Monday, Wednesday and again next weekend won’t carry the snowmageddon-like storm totals made popular among an explosion of social media posts this week, according to the National Weather Service.

But in the meantime, a tricky Monday morning forecast could result in a troubling commute, the National Weather Service said in issuing updated Monday snow totals.

 Shore break from snow

If you were hoping to get a break from the fourth-snowiest January on record, don’t hold your breath, the National Weather Service says.

While 50-degree temperatures on both Saturday, Feb. 1 and Sunday, Feb. 2 melted much of the remaining snow, a fresh coat of up to a half-a-foot of snow could cover the South Jersey landscape as early as late Sunday night or early Monday morning, the Weather Service said.

Hazardous weather outlook for Monday

A hazardous weather outlook remains in place for Monday across South Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland, according to the National Weather Service.

Cold air running out in front of a northerly-moving warm front will drop up to four inches of snow across South Jersey, according to a briefing posted by National Weather Service Mount Holly Forecast Center Meteorologist Gary Szatkowski.

“A quick moving storm is expected to bring one to four inches of snow on Monday, Feb. 3,” Szatkowski said. “The timing will be early in the day and will affect the Monday morning commute with the heaviest snowfall slated roughly between 9 a.m. and 3 p.m.”

There is a small chance for 6-inch snow accumulations from southeast Pennsylvania and northeast Maryland and northern Delaware including the Philadelphia -Wilmington metro areas across much of southern or central New Jersey, he said.

School officials could be faced with making a decision between a delayed opening or calling for another snow day if the storm reaches the area sooner than expected.

As a result of the changing forecast, the National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch for all of South Jersey except Cape May and Atlantic counties.

 Brief sunshine, more snow

Sunshine returns on Tuesday as temperatures will reach 38 across much of South Jersey before the weather goes bad on later in the day and heading into Wednesday.

“A stronger storm system will affect the region midweek and bring a wide variety of winter weather,” Szatkowski said.

The midweek storm could bring snow changing to freezing rain to all rain as warmer air moves in, Szatkowski.

“This has the potential to be a significant icing event and more details will be available as we get closer to the storm,” Szatkowski said.

High temperatures will rise to 45 degrees on Wednesday, according to the National Weather Service.

“Rainfall may be significant enough that, when combined with snow melt, we will see some river flooding,” Szatkowski said. “There may also be ice jam flooding due to the rainfall and ice-clogged rivers.”

Social media does “terrible disservice”

“Finally, though social media has done a terrible disservice and inappropriately hyped snowfall amounts, there is another potential winter storm next weekend,” Szatkowski said. “Other than mentioning it from a timing standpoint, no further details are available this far out in time.”

Szatkowski said, “No one can forecast snow totals 10 days out. Plus there is enough to worry about with the storms earlier in the week. First things first.”

Earlier snow forecasts

Earlier in the week, some models had been captured on Facebook showing 30-plus inches of snow during the next week, especially in South Jersey.

Whatever snow falls on Monday should melt by Wednesday, thanks to temperatures that are expected to be well above freezing.

Current long-term National Weather Service guidance suggests South Jersey residents will receive less snow in the next seven days than most received in the most recent one-day snowstorm.

However, central Pennsylvania residents could receive up to 18 inches of snow by noon Sunday, Feb. 9, according to long-term outlooks.

Future outlooks

The National Weather Service Mount Holly Forecast Center could issue another outlook concerning the mid-week storm on Monday afternoon, Szatkowski said.

January South Jersey weather recap

For a recap of January 2014 weather, see National Weather Service: January was very cold, snowy in South Jersey

 


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