Thursday nor’easter snow totals waver

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In what appears to be a now-cast special, the coastal snowstorm that will punish much of the eastern seaboard from Wednesday night through Friday morning will deliver sharp snowfall cutoffs to the west and east of the storm tract. /Weatherbell Analytics, www.weatherbell.com In what appears to be a now-cast special, the coastal snowstorm that will punish much of the eastern seaboard from Wednesday night through Friday morning will deliver sharp snowfall cutoffs to the west and east of the storm tract. /Weatherbell Analytics, www.weatherbell.com In what appears to be a now-cast special, the coastal nor’easter that is forecast to punish much of the eastern seaboard from Wednesday night through Friday morning is expected to deliver sharp snowfall cutoffs to the west and east of the storm tract. Still, a winter storm watch remains in effect for Wednesday through Thursday for much of the Middle Atlantic States, including South Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, Delaware and northern Maryland.

The National Weather Service Mount Holly Forecast Center issued a winter storm watch yesterday for the potential for a period of significant snowfall beginning Wednesday evening.

A National Weather Service forecast map for Wednesday shows a coastal nor'easter beginning its climb up the east coast./NWS A National Weather Service forecast map for Wednesday shows a coastal nor'easter beginning its climb up the east coast./NWS However, overnight model runs have moved the coastal nor’easter’s path almost immediately along the Jersey Shore. As a result, those models have pushed the rain-snow line farther inland.

The storm’s sweet spot – the area most likely to receive more than a foot of snow – has moved farther west as well.

Coastal New Jersey snow outlook

As of the Tuesday morning, Feb. 11 outlook, snow should overtake South Jersey Wednesday night. But the snow should change to sleet or rain before noon Thursday along the coast. Snowfall totals could be limited to 4 inches or less in much of Atlantic County and maybe only an inch or two along the coast, according to the latest model runs.

As a result, coastal communities could be punished with raw rain, gusty winds and some minor coastal flooding. But the impact from snow would be limited.

Snow levels are predicted to increase closer to Route 206, the unofficial South Jersey snow cutoff line.

However, the Tuesday morning Global Forecast System run showed less than 6 inches of snowfall in the western portion of the state.

Overnight forecasts called for a band of heavy snowfall from Washington, D.C., north along the I-95 and points west through Boston.

There is the possibility of wraparound snow to fall through Friday morning as the low pulls out to sea.

Keep posted

National Weather Service meteorologists warn that a 30- to-50 mile difference in the tract of Wednesday’s nor’easter could push the rain or snow line farther inland or closer to the ocean.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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