First 2014 land-falling hurricane could target New Orleans

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New Orleans could be in the crosshairs for the first land-falling of 2014 even though the city is still reeling from the effects caused by a monster, category 5 Hurricane Katrina in 2005./Weatherbell Analytics, www.weatherbell.com New Orleans could be in the crosshairs for the first land-falling of 2014 even though the city is still reeling from the effects caused by a monster, category 5 Hurricane Katrina in 2005./Weatherbell Analytics, www.weatherbell.com New Orleans could be in the crosshairs for the first land-falling hurricane of 2014 even though the city is still reeling from the effects caused by the monster, category 5 Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

The National Hurricane Center upgraded its outlook for two tropical disturbances in the western Atlantic Ocean duruing its 8 p.m. forecast on Tuesday, Aug. 19. Meanwhile, future 10-day weather outlooks shows one of them turning into a category 1 hurricane thwat will be roaming the Gulf of Mexico and looking for a home in places like New Orleans and the Louisiana coast.

Here is the latest:

National Hurricane Center upgrades outlook for tropical development

As of its 8 p.m. advisory, the National Hurricane Center upgraded the possibility that a tropical disturbance is facing improving and more favorable conditions for development. The disturbance is forecast to approach the Lesser Antilles and move into the Caribbean Sea in the next few days.

The NHC believes this depression has a 30 percent of development in the next 48 hours and a 50 percent development in the next five days.

10-day outlook and New Orleans

But the NCEP Global Forecast System 10-day outlook paints an aggressive picture that shows a 995-MB storm moving north through the Gulf of Mexico as of 6 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 27. It’s target: New Orleans.

A 995-MB storm is roughly equal to a category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 74 mph.

A series of high pressure systems in the northern Atlantic Ocean appears ready to bully the current tropical depression into the Gulf of Mexico. There it  can feed on warm, late-summer waters and develop into a hurricane, according to model analysis.

New Orleans and Hurricane Katrina

New Orleans will forever be linked to Hurricane Katrina, the deadliest and most destructive hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season.  Katrina killed 1,833 people and caused $108 billion in damages in 2005 United States money.  Hurricane Katrina reached category 5 status and came ashore on Aug. 29, 2005.

Remember, however, that conditions change so check back often. 

Wacky world weather

While the United States battles its first hurricane of the season, residents in Scotland could be dealing with their first snowfall. See:

Summer that wasn't could contain August snowfall for Scotland

 

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season update

There is plenty of good news for coastal residents according the ClimatePredictionCenter’s new hurricane forecast.

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